---
_id: '15047'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: Tropical precipitation extremes and their changes with surface warming are
investigated using global storm resolving simulations and high-resolution observations.
The simulations demonstrate that the mesoscale organization of convection, a process
that cannot be physically represented by conventional global climate models, is
important for the variations of tropical daily accumulated precipitation extremes.
In both the simulations and observations, daily precipitation extremes increase
in a more organized state, in association with larger, but less frequent, storms.
Repeating the simulations for a warmer climate results in a robust increase in
monthly-mean daily precipitation extremes. Higher precipitation percentiles have
a greater sensitivity to convective organization, which is predicted to increase
with warming. Without changes in organization, the strongest daily precipitation
extremes over the tropical oceans increase at a rate close to Clausius-Clapeyron
(CC) scaling. Thus, in a future warmer state with increased organization, the
strongest daily precipitation extremes over oceans increase at a faster rate than
CC scaling.
acknowledgement: This work is supported by the Max-Planck-Gesellschaft (MPG). We greatly
appreciate computational resources from Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum (DKRZ) and
the Jülich Supercomputing Centre (JSC). ICONA/O simulations are funded through the
NextGEMS project by the EU’s Horizon 2020 programme (grant agreement no. 101003470).
ICONA simulations are funded through the MONSOON-2.0 project (grant agreement no.
01LP1927A) which is supported from German Federal Ministry of Education and Research
(BMBF). J.B. acknowledges funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research
and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant (grant agreement
no. 101034413). B.S. acknowledges funding from the EU’s Horizon 2020 programme (grant
agreement no. 101003470). C.M. gratefully acknowledges funding from the European
Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation
program (Project CLUSTER, grant agreement no. 805041).
article_number: eadj6801
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Jiawei
full_name: Bao, Jiawei
id: bb9a7399-fefd-11ed-be3c-ae648fd1d160
last_name: Bao
- first_name: Bjorn
full_name: Stevens, Bjorn
last_name: Stevens
- first_name: Lukas
full_name: Kluft, Lukas
last_name: Kluft
- first_name: Caroline J
full_name: Muller, Caroline J
id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
last_name: Muller
orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
citation:
ama: Bao J, Stevens B, Kluft L, Muller CJ. Intensification of daily tropical precipitation
extremes from more organized convection. Science Advances. 2024;10(8).
doi:10.1126/sciadv.adj6801
apa: Bao, J., Stevens, B., Kluft, L., & Muller, C. J. (2024). Intensification
of daily tropical precipitation extremes from more organized convection. Science
Advances. American Association for the Advancement of Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj6801
chicago: Bao, Jiawei, Bjorn Stevens, Lukas Kluft, and Caroline J Muller. “Intensification
of Daily Tropical Precipitation Extremes from More Organized Convection.” Science
Advances. American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj6801.
ieee: J. Bao, B. Stevens, L. Kluft, and C. J. Muller, “Intensification of daily
tropical precipitation extremes from more organized convection,” Science Advances,
vol. 10, no. 8. American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2024.
ista: Bao J, Stevens B, Kluft L, Muller CJ. 2024. Intensification of daily tropical
precipitation extremes from more organized convection. Science Advances. 10(8),
eadj6801.
mla: Bao, Jiawei, et al. “Intensification of Daily Tropical Precipitation Extremes
from More Organized Convection.” Science Advances, vol. 10, no. 8, eadj6801,
American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2024, doi:10.1126/sciadv.adj6801.
short: J. Bao, B. Stevens, L. Kluft, C.J. Muller, Science Advances 10 (2024).
date_created: 2024-03-03T23:00:50Z
date_published: 2024-02-23T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2024-03-05T09:26:47Z
day: '23'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adj6801
ec_funded: 1
external_id:
pmid:
- '38394192'
file:
- access_level: open_access
checksum: d4ec4f05a6d14745057e14d1b8bf45ae
content_type: application/pdf
creator: dernst
date_created: 2024-03-04T07:34:00Z
date_updated: 2024-03-04T07:34:00Z
file_id: '15051'
file_name: 2024_ScienceAdv_Bao.pdf
file_size: 800926
relation: main_file
success: 1
file_date_updated: 2024-03-04T07:34:00Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: ' 10'
issue: '8'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '02'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
pmid: 1
project:
- _id: fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c
call_identifier: H2020
grant_number: '101034413'
name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
- _id: 629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576
call_identifier: H2020
grant_number: '805041'
name: organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical cyclones and for the
Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate
publication: Science Advances
publication_identifier:
eissn:
- 2375-2548
publication_status: published
publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
quality_controlled: '1'
related_material:
link:
- description: News on ISTA Website
relation: press_release
url: https://ista.ac.at/en/news/cloud-clustering-causes-more-extreme-rain/
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Intensification of daily tropical precipitation extremes from more organized
convection
tmp:
image: /images/cc_by.png
legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 10
year: '2024'
...