---
_id: '9136'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: In this study we investigate the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature
    in the Mediterranean region by assessing against observations the present day
    and future regional climate simulations performed in the frame of the HyMeX and
    MED-CORDEX programs. Over the 1979–2008 period, despite differences in quantitative
    precipitation simulation across the various models, the change in precipitation
    extremes with respect to temperature is robust and consistent. The spatial variability
    of the temperature–precipitation extremes relationship displays a hook shape across
    the Mediterranean, with negative slope at high temperatures and a slope following
    Clausius–Clapeyron (CC)-scaling at low temperatures. The temperature at which
    the slope of the temperature–precipitation extreme relation sharply changes (or
    temperature break), ranges from about 20 °C in the western Mediterranean to <10
    °C in Greece. In addition, this slope is always negative in the arid regions of
    the Mediterranean. The scaling of the simulated precipitation extremes is insensitive
    to ocean–atmosphere coupling, while it depends very weakly on the resolution at
    high temperatures for short precipitation accumulation times. In future climate
    scenario simulations covering the 2070–2100 period, the temperature break shifts
    to higher temperatures by a value which is on average the mean regional temperature
    change due to global warming. The slope of the simulated future temperature–precipitation
    extremes relationship is close to CC-scaling at temperatures below the temperature
    break, while at high temperatures, the negative slope is close, but somewhat flatter
    or steeper, than in the current climate depending on the model. Overall, models
    predict more intense precipitation extremes in the future. Adjusting the temperature–precipitation
    extremes relationship in the present climate using the CC law and the temperature
    shift in the future allows the recovery of the temperature–precipitation extremes
    relationship in the future climate. This implies negligible regional changes of
    relative humidity in the future despite the large warming and drying over the
    Mediterranean. This suggests that the Mediterranean Sea is the primary source
    of moisture which counteracts the drying and warming impacts on relative humidity
    in parts of the Mediterranean region.
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Philippe
  full_name: Drobinski, Philippe
  last_name: Drobinski
- first_name: Nicolas Da
  full_name: Silva, Nicolas Da
  last_name: Silva
- first_name: Gérémy
  full_name: Panthou, Gérémy
  last_name: Panthou
- first_name: Sophie
  full_name: Bastin, Sophie
  last_name: Bastin
- first_name: Caroline J
  full_name: Muller, Caroline J
  id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
  last_name: Muller
  orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
- first_name: Bodo
  full_name: Ahrens, Bodo
  last_name: Ahrens
- first_name: Marco
  full_name: Borga, Marco
  last_name: Borga
- first_name: Dario
  full_name: Conte, Dario
  last_name: Conte
- first_name: Giorgia
  full_name: Fosser, Giorgia
  last_name: Fosser
- first_name: Filippo
  full_name: Giorgi, Filippo
  last_name: Giorgi
- first_name: Ivan
  full_name: Güttler, Ivan
  last_name: Güttler
- first_name: Vassiliki
  full_name: Kotroni, Vassiliki
  last_name: Kotroni
- first_name: Laurent
  full_name: Li, Laurent
  last_name: Li
- first_name: Efrat
  full_name: Morin, Efrat
  last_name: Morin
- first_name: Bariş
  full_name: Önol, Bariş
  last_name: Önol
- first_name: Pere
  full_name: Quintana-Segui, Pere
  last_name: Quintana-Segui
- first_name: Raquel
  full_name: Romera, Raquel
  last_name: Romera
- first_name: Csaba Zsolt
  full_name: Torma, Csaba Zsolt
  last_name: Torma
citation:
  ama: 'Drobinski P, Silva ND, Panthou G, et al. Scaling precipitation extremes with
    temperature in the Mediterranean: Past climate assessment and projection in anthropogenic
    scenarios. <i>Climate Dynamics</i>. 2018;51(3):1237-1257. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3083-x">10.1007/s00382-016-3083-x</a>'
  apa: 'Drobinski, P., Silva, N. D., Panthou, G., Bastin, S., Muller, C. J., Ahrens,
    B., … Torma, C. Z. (2018). Scaling precipitation extremes with temperature in
    the Mediterranean: Past climate assessment and projection in anthropogenic scenarios.
    <i>Climate Dynamics</i>. Springer Nature. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3083-x">https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3083-x</a>'
  chicago: 'Drobinski, Philippe, Nicolas Da Silva, Gérémy Panthou, Sophie Bastin,
    Caroline J Muller, Bodo Ahrens, Marco Borga, et al. “Scaling Precipitation Extremes
    with Temperature in the Mediterranean: Past Climate Assessment and Projection
    in Anthropogenic Scenarios.” <i>Climate Dynamics</i>. Springer Nature, 2018. <a
    href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3083-x">https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3083-x</a>.'
  ieee: 'P. Drobinski <i>et al.</i>, “Scaling precipitation extremes with temperature
    in the Mediterranean: Past climate assessment and projection in anthropogenic
    scenarios,” <i>Climate Dynamics</i>, vol. 51, no. 3. Springer Nature, pp. 1237–1257,
    2018.'
  ista: 'Drobinski P, Silva ND, Panthou G, Bastin S, Muller CJ, Ahrens B, Borga M,
    Conte D, Fosser G, Giorgi F, Güttler I, Kotroni V, Li L, Morin E, Önol B, Quintana-Segui
    P, Romera R, Torma CZ. 2018. Scaling precipitation extremes with temperature in
    the Mediterranean: Past climate assessment and projection in anthropogenic scenarios.
    Climate Dynamics. 51(3), 1237–1257.'
  mla: 'Drobinski, Philippe, et al. “Scaling Precipitation Extremes with Temperature
    in the Mediterranean: Past Climate Assessment and Projection in Anthropogenic
    Scenarios.” <i>Climate Dynamics</i>, vol. 51, no. 3, Springer Nature, 2018, pp.
    1237–57, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3083-x">10.1007/s00382-016-3083-x</a>.'
  short: P. Drobinski, N.D. Silva, G. Panthou, S. Bastin, C.J. Muller, B. Ahrens,
    M. Borga, D. Conte, G. Fosser, F. Giorgi, I. Güttler, V. Kotroni, L. Li, E. Morin,
    B. Önol, P. Quintana-Segui, R. Romera, C.Z. Torma, Climate Dynamics 51 (2018)
    1237–1257.
date_created: 2021-02-15T14:18:53Z
date_published: 2018-08-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2022-01-24T12:40:40Z
day: '01'
doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3083-x
extern: '1'
intvolume: '        51'
issue: '3'
keyword:
- Atmospheric Science
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
  url: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3083-x
month: '08'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
page: 1237-1257
publication: Climate Dynamics
publication_identifier:
  issn:
  - 0930-7575
  - 1432-0894
publication_status: published
publisher: Springer Nature
quality_controlled: '1'
status: public
title: 'Scaling precipitation extremes with temperature in the Mediterranean: Past
  climate assessment and projection in anthropogenic scenarios'
type: journal_article
user_id: 8b945eb4-e2f2-11eb-945a-df72226e66a9
volume: 51
year: '2018'
...