---
_id: '13256'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian summer monsoon (ISM,
    or monsoon) are two giants of tropical climate. Here we assess the future evolution
    of the ENSO-monsoon teleconnection in climate simulations with idealized forcing
    of CO2 increment at a rate of 1% year-1 starting from a present-day condition
    (367 p.p.m.) until quadrupling. We find a monotonous weakening of the ENSO-monsoon
    teleconnection with the increase in CO2. Increased co-occurrences of El Niño and
    positive Indian Ocean Dipoles (pIODs) in a warmer climate weaken the teleconnection.
    Co-occurrences of El Niño and pIOD are attributable to mean sea surface temperature
    (SST) warming that resembles a pIOD-type warming pattern in the Indian Ocean and
    an El Niño-type warming in the Pacific. Since ENSO is a critical precursor of
    the strength of the Indian monsoon, a weakening of this relation may mean a less
    predictable Indian monsoon in a warmer climate.
acknowledgement: This work was supported by National Research Foundation of Korea
  (NRF) grants funded by the Korean government (MSIT) (NRF-2018R1A5A1024958, RS-2023-00208000).
  Model simulation and data transfer were supported by the National Supercomputing
  Center with supercomputing resources including technical support (KSC-2019-CHA-0005),
  the National Center for Meteorological Supercomputer of the Korea Meteorological
  Administration (KMA), and by the Korea Research Environment Open NETwork (KREONET),
  respectively. We sincerely thank Dr. Jongsoo Shin of Pohang University of Science
  and Technology, Pohang, South Korea for the model simulations.
article_number: '82'
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Bidyut B
  full_name: Goswami, Bidyut B
  id: 3a4ac09c-6d61-11ec-bf66-884cde66b64b
  last_name: Goswami
- first_name: Soon Il
  full_name: An, Soon Il
  last_name: An
citation:
  ama: GOSWAMI BB, An SI. An assessment of the ENSO-monsoon teleconnection in a warming
    climate. <i>npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>. 2023;6. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00411-5">10.1038/s41612-023-00411-5</a>
  apa: GOSWAMI, B. B., &#38; An, S. I. (2023). An assessment of the ENSO-monsoon teleconnection
    in a warming climate. <i>Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>. Springer Nature.
    <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00411-5">https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00411-5</a>
  chicago: GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B, and Soon Il An. “An Assessment of the ENSO-Monsoon Teleconnection
    in a Warming Climate.” <i>Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>. Springer Nature,
    2023. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00411-5">https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00411-5</a>.
  ieee: B. B. GOSWAMI and S. I. An, “An assessment of the ENSO-monsoon teleconnection
    in a warming climate,” <i>npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>, vol. 6. Springer
    Nature, 2023.
  ista: GOSWAMI BB, An SI. 2023. An assessment of the ENSO-monsoon teleconnection
    in a warming climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 6, 82.
  mla: GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B., and Soon Il An. “An Assessment of the ENSO-Monsoon Teleconnection
    in a Warming Climate.” <i>Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>, vol. 6, 82,
    Springer Nature, 2023, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00411-5">10.1038/s41612-023-00411-5</a>.
  short: B.B. GOSWAMI, S.I. An, Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 6 (2023).
date_created: 2023-07-23T22:01:10Z
date_published: 2023-07-08T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2023-08-02T06:38:07Z
day: '08'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00411-5
external_id:
  isi:
  - '001024920300002'
file:
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  date_updated: 2023-07-31T08:00:01Z
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language:
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month: '07'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 2397-3722
publication_status: published
publisher: Springer Nature
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: An assessment of the ENSO-monsoon teleconnection in a warming climate
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
  short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
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volume: 6
year: '2023'
...