---
_id: '3656'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: We have analysed the role of sampling drift in inducing shifts between alternative
    adaptive peaks, in small and rapidly growing populations. Using a simple model
    of disruptive selection on a polygenic character, we calculate the net probabilityofapeakshift.
    If the growth rate is high, theprobabilityofashiftina growing population is insensitive
    to selection on the character. Assuming that the character is effectively neutral
    during the brief initial increase, we find that theprobabilityofapeakshift is
    given by theprobabilityof finding a standard normal variate greater than √2ΔV
    where ΔV is the reduction in additive genetic variance during the growth period.
    This result holds for arbitrary pattern of increase in size, provided that the
    rate of increase is high enough for selection to be negligible, and the character
    depends on a large number of loci. Comparing theprobabilityofpeakshiftsin founding
    populations with the rate ofshiftsin static and allopatric populations it appears
    that although strongly selected shifts are only likely to occur ina growing population,
    a static population is a more congenial setting for adaptive shifts.
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Shahin
  full_name: Rouhani, Shahin
  last_name: Rouhani
- first_name: Nicholas H
  full_name: Barton, Nicholas H
  id: 4880FE40-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
  last_name: Barton
  orcid: 0000-0002-8548-5240
citation:
  ama: Rouhani S, Barton NH. The probability of peak shifts in a founder population.
    <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>. 1987;126(1):51-62. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80100-5">10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80100-5</a>
  apa: Rouhani, S., &#38; Barton, N. H. (1987). The probability of peak shifts in
    a founder population. <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>. Elsevier. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80100-5">https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80100-5</a>
  chicago: Rouhani, Shahin, and Nicholas H Barton. “The Probability of Peak Shifts
    in a Founder Population.” <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>. Elsevier, 1987.
    <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80100-5">https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80100-5</a>.
  ieee: S. Rouhani and N. H. Barton, “The probability of peak shifts in a founder
    population,” <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>, vol. 126, no. 1. Elsevier,
    pp. 51–62, 1987.
  ista: Rouhani S, Barton NH. 1987. The probability of peak shifts in a founder population.
    Journal of Theoretical Biology. 126(1), 51–62.
  mla: Rouhani, Shahin, and Nicholas H. Barton. “The Probability of Peak Shifts in
    a Founder Population.” <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>, vol. 126, no. 1,
    Elsevier, 1987, pp. 51–62, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80100-5">10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80100-5</a>.
  short: S. Rouhani, N.H. Barton, Journal of Theoretical Biology 126 (1987) 51–62.
date_created: 2018-12-11T12:04:28Z
date_published: 1987-05-07T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2022-02-04T12:36:32Z
day: '07'
doi: 10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80100-5
extern: '1'
intvolume: '       126'
issue: '1'
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- url: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022519387801005?via%3Dihub
month: '05'
oa_version: None
page: 51 - 62
publication: Journal of Theoretical Biology
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1095-8541
  issn:
  - 0022-5193
publication_status: published
publisher: Elsevier
publist_id: '2727'
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: The probability of peak shifts in a founder population
type: journal_article
user_id: ea97e931-d5af-11eb-85d4-e6957dddbf17
volume: 126
year: '1987'
...
---
_id: '3661'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: We derive a formula giving thefrequency with which random drift shifts a population
    betweenalternativeequilibria. This formula is valid when such shifts are rare
    (Ns &gt;&gt; 1), and applies over a wide range of mutation rates. When the number
    of mutations entering the population is low (4Nμ &lt;&lt; 1), the rate of stochastic
    shifts reduces to the product ofthe mutation rate and the probability of fixation
    of a single mutation. However, when many mutations enter the population in each
    generation (4Nμ &gt;&gt; 1), the rate is higher than would be expected if mutations
    were established independently, and converges to that given by a gaussian approximation.
    We apply recent results on bistable systems to extend this formula to the general
    multidimensional case. This gives an explicit expression for thefrequencyof stochastic
    shifts, which depends only on theequilibrium probability distribution near the
    saddle point separating thealternative stable states. The plausibility of theories
    of speciation through random drift are discussed in the light of these results.
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Nicholas H
  full_name: Barton, Nicholas H
  id: 4880FE40-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
  last_name: Barton
  orcid: 0000-0002-8548-5240
- first_name: Shahin
  full_name: Rouhani, Shahin
  last_name: Rouhani
citation:
  ama: Barton NH, Rouhani S. The frequency of shifts between alternative equilibria.
    <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>. 1987;125(4):397-418. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80210-2">10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80210-2</a>
  apa: Barton, N. H., &#38; Rouhani, S. (1987). The frequency of shifts between alternative
    equilibria. <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>. Elsevier. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80210-2">https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80210-2</a>
  chicago: Barton, Nicholas H, and Shahin Rouhani. “The Frequency of Shifts between
    Alternative Equilibria.” <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>. Elsevier, 1987.
    <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80210-2">https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80210-2</a>.
  ieee: N. H. Barton and S. Rouhani, “The frequency of shifts between alternative
    equilibria,” <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>, vol. 125, no. 4. Elsevier,
    pp. 397–418, 1987.
  ista: Barton NH, Rouhani S. 1987. The frequency of shifts between alternative equilibria.
    Journal of Theoretical Biology. 125(4), 397–418.
  mla: Barton, Nicholas H., and Shahin Rouhani. “The Frequency of Shifts between Alternative
    Equilibria.” <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>, vol. 125, no. 4, Elsevier,
    1987, pp. 397–418, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80210-2">10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80210-2</a>.
  short: N.H. Barton, S. Rouhani, Journal of Theoretical Biology 125 (1987) 397–418.
date_created: 2018-12-11T12:04:29Z
date_published: 1987-04-21T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2022-02-04T10:39:15Z
day: '21'
doi: 10.1016/S0022-5193(87)80210-2
extern: '1'
intvolume: '       125'
issue: '4'
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- url: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022519387802102?via%3Dihub
month: '04'
oa_version: None
page: 397 - 418
publication: Journal of Theoretical Biology
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1095-8541
  issn:
  - 0022-5193
publication_status: published
publisher: Elsevier
publist_id: '2722'
status: public
title: The frequency of shifts between alternative equilibria
type: journal_article
user_id: ea97e931-d5af-11eb-85d4-e6957dddbf17
volume: 125
year: '1987'
...
---
_id: '4323'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: It is noted that the sibling competition model for the evolution of sex and
    recombination, as it has been developed so far, involves truncation selection.
    After briefly reviewing aspects of the development and behaviour of such models
    an analytical treatment is presented which involves additive selection. Additive
    selection, as compared with truncation selection, decreases the advantage of sex
    to such an extent that it is unlikely that sibling competition could overcome
    its intrinsic two-fold cost, although it could still be important in promoting
    family variability produced by other mechanisms, such as polyandry.
acknowledgement: "We would like to thank M. Bulmer for his helpful comments. R. J.
  Post was supported during this work by an MRC Postdoctoral Fellowship, and N. Barton
  by an SRC Postdoctoral Fellowship. \r\n"
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Nicholas H
  full_name: Barton, Nicholas H
  id: 4880FE40-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
  last_name: Barton
  orcid: 0000-0002-8548-5240
- first_name: R.J.
  full_name: Post, R.J.
  last_name: Post
citation:
  ama: Barton NH, Post RJ. Sibling competition and the advantage of mixed families.
    <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>. 1986;120(4):381-387. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(86)80033-9">10.1016/S0022-5193(86)80033-9</a>
  apa: Barton, N. H., &#38; Post, R. J. (1986). Sibling competition and the advantage
    of mixed families. <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>. Elsevier. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(86)80033-9">https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(86)80033-9</a>
  chicago: Barton, Nicholas H, and R.J. Post. “Sibling Competition and the Advantage
    of Mixed Families.” <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>. Elsevier, 1986. <a
    href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(86)80033-9">https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(86)80033-9</a>.
  ieee: N. H. Barton and R. J. Post, “Sibling competition and the advantage of mixed
    families,” <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>, vol. 120, no. 4. Elsevier, pp.
    381–387, 1986.
  ista: Barton NH, Post RJ. 1986. Sibling competition and the advantage of mixed families.
    Journal of Theoretical Biology. 120(4), 381–387.
  mla: Barton, Nicholas H., and R. J. Post. “Sibling Competition and the Advantage
    of Mixed Families.” <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>, vol. 120, no. 4, Elsevier,
    1986, pp. 381–87, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-5193(86)80033-9">10.1016/S0022-5193(86)80033-9</a>.
  short: N.H. Barton, R.J. Post, Journal of Theoretical Biology 120 (1986) 381–387.
date_created: 2018-12-11T12:08:15Z
date_published: 1986-06-21T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2022-01-31T14:44:50Z
day: '21'
doi: 10.1016/S0022-5193(86)80033-9
extern: '1'
intvolume: '       120'
issue: '4'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '06'
oa_version: None
page: 381 - 387
publication: Journal of Theoretical Biology
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1095-8541
  issn:
  - 0022-5193
publication_status: published
publisher: Elsevier
publist_id: '1720'
quality_controlled: '1'
status: public
title: Sibling competition and the advantage of mixed families
type: journal_article
user_id: ea97e931-d5af-11eb-85d4-e6957dddbf17
volume: 120
year: '1986'
...
